Smurfit Westrock Plc
SWConsumer Cyclical · Stock · quarterly payer
Forward Yield
4.08%
Annual Dividend
$1.81
Payout Ratio
242%
5-Yr Growth
-9.8%
Ex-Date
May 15, 2026
Frequency
Quarterly
Summary
As of July 2026, Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW) yields 4.08% ($1.81 per share annually), with a blended fair-value estimate of $33.83 — -24% downside, so it screens as overvalued. Dividend safety grade: D (49/100). 1 years of dividend growth.
Is SW a good dividend stock?
MixedSmurfit Westrock Plc (SW) pays a quarterly dividend yielding 4.08% ($1.81/yr), with 1 year of growth and a dividend-safety grade of D. The picture is mixed — the dividend pays, but safety or growth signals are weaker than ideal.
Advantages
Risks
- Cut its dividend in 2024
- Elevated payout ratio (242%)
- Dividend has been shrinking, not growing
- Share price is down over the past 5 years
- Below-average dividend safety score
Key Data
- Dividend Yield
- 4.08%
- Payout Ratio
- 242%
- Annual Dividend
- $1.81
- 5-Yr Avg Growth
- -9.8%
- Ex-Dividend Date
- May 15, 2026
- Years of Growth
- 1
- Frequency
- quarterly
- Beta
- 0.94
- Market Cap
- $22.6B
- P/E Ratio
- 61.6
- 5-Yr Total Return
- -22%
- 52-Week Range
- $32.73 – $52.65
- Dividend Safety
- D · 49/100
- Ever Cut?
- Yes (2024)
Frequently Asked Questions
SW Price — Last 12 Months
Daily close
Price Return
1 Year
-6%
3 Years
+9%
5 Years
-22%
52-Week Range
$32.73 – $52.65
Price change over each period (excludes dividends). Past performance doesn't guarantee future results.
What is SW worth?
Overvaluedmedium confidenceOur blended fair-value estimate for Smurfit Westrock Plc is $33.83 per share, versus a market price of $44.30. That implies 24% of downside.
Fair Value
$33.83
Current Price
$44.30
Downside
-24%
Margin of Safety
-31%
How we get there
Dividend discount
Discounts the future dividend stream back to today.
Earnings multiple (Graham)
Graham's earnings-multiple formula, anchored to bond yields.
At today's price, the market is pricing in about 40.0% annual free-cash-flow growth. We model 13.3% — so the price already assumes faster growth than we think is likely.
Assumptions: 9.0% discount rate (CAPM), 13.3% stage-1 growth, 2.5% terminal growth, $0.72 EPS, $1.81 annual dividend. Updated weekly.
Fair-value estimates are model output for educational purposes only — not investment advice or a price target.
SW Dividend Safety Score
Risky
SmarterDividends' proprietary score, backtested against which dividends were actually cut over 15+ years (0.78 AUC). It blends a validated cut-risk model (growth streak, cut history) with current payout, cash-flow and debt. Higher is safer · not investment advice.
Dividend Growth
Total dividends per share by year
Dividend History
| Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | — | $0.4520 | regular |
| Feb 17, 2026 | — | $0.4520 | regular |
| Aug 15, 2025 | — | $0.4310 | regular |
| May 16, 2025 | — | $0.4310 | regular |
| Feb 14, 2025 | — | $0.4310 | regular |
| Nov 15, 2024 | — | $0.3030 | regular |
| Aug 15, 2024 | — | $0.3030 | regular |
| Apr 11, 2024 | — | $1.2720 | regular |
| Sep 28, 2023 | — | $0.3520 | regular |
| Apr 13, 2023 | — | $1.1830 | regular |
| Sep 29, 2022 | — | $0.3080 | regular |
| Apr 7, 2022 | — | $1.0480 | regular |
| Sep 23, 2021 | — | $0.3430 | regular |
| Apr 8, 2021 | — | $1.0370 | regular |
Income Calculator
At $1.81 / yr per share
